You’ve seen it before in so many words;…..
….and now for the ugly truth!…….
I have always felt that the truth was my friend, as it knew where I stood with the real world. We sometimes do not like to tell the truth as we may be afraid that it might hurt someone, or hide something from some that would be to our disadvantage. These are forms of lies, which hurt us so much more over time. As a real estate professional, I must tell the truth, whch includes not only those things that may not work to my advantage, but also to not answer things that I do not know, which is a lot, I must say.
This article is to tell the truth about the real estate market, which I do not think is ugly, although the wording sometimes does stop the bleeding, if only for a little while.
TRUTH 1 – WE ARE IN ONE OF THE BEST MARKETS FOR BUYING REAL ESTATE.
How can this be? With people losing their homes, taxes increasing, job losses that are real and may be worse? And you are telling me that this is a good time to buy?
Yes, this is true. Interest rates are low (as low as they have been in decades). Rates on borrowed money are the major component of mortgage cost and this is something the Buyer can control now. Home prices are at decade low prices and well. When this is combined with low interest rates the case for buying versus renting is made. In many cases, the mortgage payment is higher than the rent it would cost to lease.
TRUTH 2 – BUYING A HOME IS NOT AN INVESTMENT
When you buy an investment, such a a CD or mutual fund, you expect a return on your money in the form of a dividend or interest. Buying a home to live in provides neither. In fact, there are additional costs incurred such as taxes, maintenance, utilities, repairs, and the like. No rent is received, in fact if you have a mortgage, you are paying more and more and while the interest is deductible, only to your marginal tax bracket. However, it is your place in the sun, where you can go to at the end of the workday and relax knowing it is yours; your own personal paradise away from the workaday world. There is a lot of value in that and that is the American Dream.
However, purchasing real estate for investment; that is real estate in which you do not live, is an investment which right now is a potentially lucrative one. Rent will almost certainly be significant higher than the mortgage. Mortgage rates are low, as said above, and higher down payments make smaller loans. The maintenance and repair are tax deductible and the standard depreciation you can take on an investment property is also deducted each year, if you choose.
So despite the fact that your home is not an investment is not a reason not to buy. If you have questions on this, I’m always available to discuss.
TRUTH 3 – HOME PRICES MAY GO DOWN FURTHER
This truth is more of a prediction than a truth, but indication are that it may not be far off the mark. The actual thing that the property buyer should think about is what that may mean down the road. If you are a homebuyer, you may want to consider the risk of buying a home if there is fear that you may have to sell within 10 years. If you are happy with your property and can afford the payments, additionally if you have no reason to move, the value of your home in inconsequential. If you are an investor, the income you derive from the property is more important than the sales price, until it is time to make a change for tax reasons, or better opportunities.
TRUTH 4 – CREDIT AND LOANS ARE HARD TO GET
This truth is not a truth but common knowledge. It is true that credit is more difficult to get than 5 years ago, or even 2 years ago. In fact, the documentation required to obtain credit is more of a burden to the borrower, but it is similar to the process before the creative (stated income, variable rate, etc.) loan process began in the mid 90s.
Some banks have little incentive to loan today. They can get money at nearly 0% interest from the government and purchase treasuries at 3% with no risk. With the current conventional loan rate (30 year fixed loan with 20% down) near 4.65%, you must prove the fact that you are not a risky borrower.
The property buyer does have options, of course. Mortgage brokers have many investors that they deal wit (including the big banks) that have money to loan. While the process is more onerous than 5 years ago, you can get a loan at a great rate if you credit scores meet the needs of the lender.
Truth 5 – THIS IS A TERRIBLE TIME TO SELL
This truth may be ugly, if you are compelled to sell your home because you have lost a job, been transferred to another location, or other circumstances that force you to sell. However, the banks are incented to help you get out of your home with as much grace as is possible, first through the load modification process and if that does not work, the short sale process. Nobody likes to be forced to sell their home, but this is true in all markets. Today’s market allows a more graceful exit than one might think.
If you want to sell because you think you are paying too much given the value of the home, you are under the belief that your home is an investment and should reread the first two truths. When you entered into your purchase contract, you had the chance to ask any question about the loan you wanted. A good agent would have directed you to understand the terms of the loan. No one, unfortunately, has a crytal ball to look into the future to see how much value your home would gain in the future. This truth may be ugly, but it is the truth. So many people bought home during the meteorica rise of 2003 to 2006 for the capital appreciation rather than for homes or income, we all began to confuse what traditionally has been a long term capital asset into a short term trading asset. When we confuse an asset for something that it is not, disaster is the ultimate end.
These ugly truths are not all that ugly, I think. However, if you thin kthese truths are really ugly, please let me know. I always like to see a differing opinion, it may also change mine,…and that is the ugly truth.